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#14 실행-의제 proposed

Climate Dividend: Returning Carbon Revenue to Korean Citizens

기획재정부기후에너지환경부

In One Sentence

On 28 May 2026, in the opening lecture of Korea's first national Climate Citizens' Assembly (2026, 200 deliberating citizens — 20 planning + 180 deliberating-only — established under Article 19-2 of the Carbon Neutrality Framework Act), Professor Park Chan of the University of Seoul put a question to the room that Korean climate policy has avoided for a decade: if Korea introduces a real carbon price, who gets the money back?

Why This Matters — A Distinctly Korean Story

Professor Park Chan's Framing (Session 1, 28 May 2026)

In Session 1 (p. 49 of the lecture deck), Professor Park argued:

"Collect a carbon tax and return it equally to citizens, and low-income households receive more than they pay. It is the only empirically tested policy that directly refutes the 'burden on ordinary people' argument."

This frames the dividend not as a Canadian import, but as a direct answer to a specifically Korean political objection — the "burden argument" (서민 부담론) that has stalled every Korean energy-price reform since 2013.

The Korean Inequality Context

Korea's distributional starting point makes the dividend especially relevant:

  • Gini coefficient (disposable income): ~0.34 — close to OECD average but rising.
  • Elderly poverty rate: ~40% — the highest in the OECD by a wide margin.
  • Carbon footprint is steeply progressive — Korea's top income decile emits several times more per capita than the bottom decile.

Under a per-capita dividend, the bottom deciles would, on the international evidence, be net receivers of the carbon-tax-and-rebate cycle. This is why Agenda ⑭ is presented to the Assembly as the direct policy companion to Agenda ② (Electricity Pricing).

The Korean Legal Gap

  • Korea has no climate-dividend law. There is no Korean equivalent of Canada's Climate Action Incentive Payment.
  • K-ETS (the Korea Emissions Trading Scheme) still allocates most permits for free, so there is little revenue to redistribute today.
  • Introducing a dividend would likely require both a new carbon tax vehicle (amendments to the Income Tax Act and Special Tax Treatment Control Act) and an amendment to the Carbon Neutrality Framework Act to lock in the rebate channel.

The Assembly is being asked not whether the dividend is desirable in the abstract, but whether Korea should now begin building the legal architecture for it.

What Korea Could Learn From — and Adapt

Reference Korea's Adaptation Question
British Columbia (2008–) — revenue-neutral carbon tax, the world's longest-running case Should Korea begin sub-nationally (a province or metropolitan city) before going national?
Canada (2019–) — federal carbon price + quarterly Climate Action Incentive Payment, ~1,800 CAD/year for a family of four Should Korea pay quarterly (Canada model), monthly, or annually?
Switzerland — ~2/3 of CO₂ levy revenue returned via health-insurance premium credit Could Korea use the National Health Insurance system as a delivery channel?
Austria — Klimabonus (2022–), regionally varied per-capita payment Should Korea pay more to rural areas with weaker public transit, as Canada does (+10–20%)?

The Assembly's task is not to copy any of these. It is to ask whether a Korean dividend — designed around Korean households, including informal-economy workers, multi-generational households, and migrant workers — can be made operationally and politically real.

Disputes the Assembly Is Weighing

  • Unit of payment — per capita, per household, or per household with child weighting?
  • Equal vs progressive — strict per-capita (Canada-style) or progressively weighted toward lower income deciles?
  • Saver bonus — a flat dividend, or one that adds a premium for households that reduce consumption below a benchmark?
  • Sequencing — introduce the dividend before the carbon tax (as a trust-building down payment), simultaneously, or after?
  • Urban/rural differential — Canada pays rural households more; should Korea, given the depopulation crisis in non-metropolitan provinces?
  • Coverage of informal workers — gig-economy delivery riders, undocumented workers, North Korean defectors — does the dividend reach them, and through what channel?

En-ROADS Lever Mapping

  • L8 Carbon Pricing (direct, primary) — En-ROADS' user guide identifies L8 as "the single most powerful single lever." It is the only lever that, when pulled to maximum on its own, approaches the 1.5 °C pathway in the model.
  • Distributional outcome is outside the model — En-ROADS shows that L8 works on aggregate emissions. The dividend is the policy mechanism that makes L8 politically sustainable over decades.
  • Moderator tip — when demonstrating L8, do not only show the temperature curve. Pair the slider move with a printed household-level table showing that Korea's bottom four income deciles would, under the rebate, be net receivers. Otherwise the discussion collapses into the abstract "burden" frame the dividend is designed to answer.

Open Questions Before the Assembly

  • Without an enforceable legal guarantee, would Korean citizens trust that the rebate will actually be paid quarter after quarter, government after government?
  • Should the dividend be paid into an account citizens see (high visibility, high political durability) or netted against National Health Insurance contributions (low friction, lower visibility)?
  • How does the dividend interact with existing Korean transfers — Basic Pension, Basic Livelihood Security, Energy Voucher — without creating clawback or double-counting?
  • Should the dividend be tied to Korea's NDC trajectory (rising in line with the carbon price) or fixed for predictability?

The Assembly has not taken a position. Any recommendation is advisory to the Presidential Committee on National Climate Crisis Response; legislative authority rests with the National Assembly.

Citation

Korea Climate Assembly Wiki. (2026). Agenda #14 — Climate Dividend: Returning Carbon Revenue to Korean Citizens. Retrieved from https://climate-assembly.org/en/agenda/climate-dividend

Disclaimer

This page reflects deliberations of the 2026 Climate Citizens' Assembly, a consultative body established under Article 19-2 of Korea's Carbon Neutrality Framework Act. Recommendations of the Assembly are advisory. This wiki is an independent moderator's archive, not an official publication of any Korean government body.

Related agendas: #2 #6

Cite this page

BibTeX

@misc{climatewiki_20260601,
  title  = {Climate Dividend: Returning Carbon Revenue to Korean Citizens},
  author = {Seo, Jaehong},
  year   = {2026},
  url    = {https://climate-assembly.org/en/agenda/climate-dividend/},
  note   = {Korea Climate Assembly Wiki, CC BY-SA 4.0}
}

MLA

Seo, Jaehong. "Climate Dividend: Returning Carbon Revenue to Korean Citizens." Korea Climate Assembly Wiki, 2026-06-01. <https://climate-assembly.org/en/agenda/climate-dividend/>.

Chicago

Seo, Jaehong. "Climate Dividend: Returning Carbon Revenue to Korean Citizens." Korea Climate Assembly Wiki. Last modified 2026-06-01. https://climate-assembly.org/en/agenda/climate-dividend/.

APA 7

Seo, J. (2026). Climate Dividend: Returning Carbon Revenue to Korean Citizens. Korea Climate Assembly Wiki. Retrieved June 1, 2026, from https://climate-assembly.org/en/agenda/climate-dividend/